Record-Breaking $438,900 Pot on Live at the Bike (Analysis)

Jacky’s bet is completely fine both from a hand selection and sizing perspective. Betting smaller than this would give far too good of pot odds to his opponent’s draws, which is a concern for much of Jacky's range (though not for this specific hand).

In fact, holding pocket 9’s here likely makes it better to bet even slightly bigger, exploitatively, something like $10,000, because you don’t block any Qx hands and you are unlikely to get raised by many worse hands regardless of your bet size.

Andy’s small raise only makes sense if one of two things are true:

• He has the very specific read that Jacky is leading medium-strength hands like JJ and TT and then calls a small raise.
• He has the read that Jacky leads and then 3-bets with a range that mostly consists of bluffs.

Without this specific read, Andy’s raise is nonsensical as he will isolate himself almost exclusively against better hands.

Garrett’s fold is completely fine/standard and so is Jacky’s 3-bet. An argument could be made for just calling the raise, but that might lose some value on rivers that complete the flush or even worse, get in a super bad beat on rivers such as an Ace or a King.

Andy is plummeting deeper into the rabbit hole and now calls the 3-bet. This level of assumption on his part is extremely threatened by bias. In order for this call to be correct, he must believe that Jacky’s range is extremely weighted towards bluffs.

If I were Andy, I would need to have seen Jacky pull this kind of 3-bet bluff with deep stacks beforehand in order to make such a move.

I would advise you to not get yourself in these kinds of situations with deep stacks because they can have grave consequences on your win-rate, even though they are very rare.